What are the current odds for Winner of France’s presidential election?

Futuur prices Marine Le Pen at 50% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Winner of France’s presidential election resolve?

Winner of France’s presidential election is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027.

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

Marine Le Pen 50%

Leader of 6 outcomes

Market quality

32 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$8.6K

Medium liquidity

Traders

Comments

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

This event predicts who will win the next presidential election in France, currently expected to be held in April 2027.

France elects its President using a two-round system.
A candidate who receives more than 50% of valid votes in the first round is elected.
If no candidate achieves this threshold, a second-round runoff is held between the top two candidates.
The market listing the name of the candidate who is officially elected President of France, including after any runoff, will resolve to "Yes".
All other markets will resolve to "No".