Current community forecast
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 44.7%+34.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+28.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 18, 26, 2:06 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 10:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?
PolymarketWinner of France’s presidential election
FutuurMarine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.
Manifold MarketsWill the next president of France be from a left-wing party
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsWill the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to the candidate who wins the second round of the 2027 French presidential election, as officially proclaimed by the Conseil constitutionnel (or per the Ministry of the Interior final results if proclaimed first).
- Only one answer can resolve YES.
- If the winner is NOT one of the listed candidates (there is no "Other" option), the market resolves N/A and all traders are refunded.
- If no election takes place by December 31, 2027, it also resolves N/A. The market closes before the first round of voting, so before any result is public.
