Current community forecast
No 91%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 23, 26, 11:51 AM UTCApr 24, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
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Resolution criteria
- The election will be held in April 2027, with a second round two weeks later if no candidate secures a majority vote.
- The market resolves YES if the winner of the 2027 French presidential election is a member of the Parti Socialiste (PS).
- Resolution will be based on official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
- Relations between France Insoumise and the Parti Socialiste are at rock bottom, with PS First Secretary Olivier Faure stating there will be no national pact with France Insoumise in the 2027 presidential elections.
- Several leftist groups have announced a primary in October 2026 to pick a united left candidate under the banner 'Front Populaire', with representatives from the Parti Socialiste, the Greens, and the Communists participating.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? resolve?
- Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? is scheduled to resolve on April 24, 2027.
- How is Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria