PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 13, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 85%
December 31 85%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$32.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$413.6
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 12, 26, 6:26 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Russia-Ukraine senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
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PolymarketWhere will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?
PolymarketWhen will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
KalshiRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between Russia and Ukraine between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation.
- A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, prisoner exchange, or further engagement.
- A meeting qualifies regardless of its subject matter, including meetings limited to humanitarian issues (e.g., prisoner exchanges, the return of civilians or children, or humanitarian pauses), whether or not broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar, are discussed.
- Representatives include officials mandated by their government or parliament to negotiate such humanitarian matters on its behalf, including Ukraine's Parliamentary Commissioner for Human Rights and Russia's High Commissioner for Human Rights.