PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Republican Party 57%+16.0pt
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$238.3
Liquidity
$899.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 37.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 6:03 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Pennsylvania Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such President Pro Tempore is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Republican Party is 54%. Quotes span about 6 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Republican Party 54% · 2 venues · 6 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Pennsylvania State Senate winner? · Republican party 54%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026??
- Polymarket prices Republican Party at 57% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? resolve?
- Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- Where else is Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.