PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democratic Party · —
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Stored reference
Democratic Party 54%
Democratic Party 54%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$239.6
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.8K
Bid / Ask
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Democratic PartySpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 6:03 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Democratic Party
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Polymarket2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Pennsylvania Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such President Pro Tempore is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Democratic Party is 53%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 53% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Pennsylvania State Senate winner? · Democratic party 54%