Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
3.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection6d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democratic Party · —
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Stored reference
Democratic Party 80.2%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Democratic Party 80.2%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$238
Liquidity
$33.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.9K
Bid / Ask
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Democratic PartySpread
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7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 6:28 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Market depth · Democratic Party
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Arizona State Senate winner?
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ForecastExWill the Democratic party win the Arizona's 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Democratic party win the Arizona's 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNCAA Football: Arizona State 2026 Win Total
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Arizona State Senate in the 2026 Arizona midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Arizona Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such President of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
- All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.