PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
3 · —
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Stored reference
3 69%Leader of 5 outcomes
3 69%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$45.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$5.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
3Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+37.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 1, 26, 12:08 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
1Lost
2Lost
<1Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 3
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will North Korea resume its nuclear tests in 2026?
FutuurIf North Korea tests a nuclear weapon, how many will they test?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketNorth Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
PolymarketUS x North Korea diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during October 2026, Pyongyang Time.
- If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
- Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
- Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
- Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.