Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 3:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Chris Hipkins · —
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Stored reference
Chris Hipkins 51.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Chris Hipkins 51.5%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22K
Liquidity
$184.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$14.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Chris HipkinsSpread
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Comments
4
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 29, 26, 11:48 PM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Chris Hipkins
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
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FutuurWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiRules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? · Christopher Luxon 53%