Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastChris Hipkins 50.9%-0.3ptLeader of 17 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.1 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleOct 14, 23, 6:59 PM UTCJan 2, 50, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand, whoever that will be. "Other" will never resolve positively.
- I'm not sure how the "Other" category works.
- If you think that none of the listed people will resolve positively, your best bet is probably to bet against them rather than bet in favour of "Other".
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand??
- Manifold Markets prices Chris Hipkins at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand? resolve?
- Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2050.
- How is Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand, whoever that will be. "Other" will never resolve positively.