Next Israeli government a minority government?
8.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChessElectionMiddle EastSports1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:29 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 72%
No 72%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$21K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 28, 26, 5:42 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Israeli government # of seats?
PolymarketWhich coalition will form the next Israeli government?
PolymarketWhich parties will be in the next Israeli government?
PolymarketNext Israeli government formed by which date?
PolymarketWho will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Manifold MarketsHow long will the the Israeli government last after the upcoming elections?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election is a minority government.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A minority government is defined as a government whose parties together hold fewer than 61 of the 120 seats in the Knesset at the time the government is approved in a vote of confidence.
- Seats will be attributed to parties according to the Knesset factions in place at the time of that vote.
- This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
- The government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence.
