PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Cisco Aguilar (D) · —
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Stored reference
Cisco Aguilar (D) 92%
Cisco Aguilar (D) 92%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$37.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$671.3
Bid / Ask
— / —
Cisco Aguilar (D)Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 5:58 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Cisco Aguilar (D)
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
- If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Cisco Aguilar (D) is 90%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Cisco Aguilar (D) 90% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Nevada Secretary of State winner? · Cisco Aguilar 90%
