Current community forecast
Liberal-National 60.3%
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 6, 25, 4:59 PM UTCNov 29, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Victorian State Election 2026: Number of Seats won by One Nation
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PolymarketRules
The two-party-preferred count is the number of votes received by the Labor Party and the Liberal-National Coalition after preferences have been distributed.
- It is the headline figure of most opinion polls in Australia.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the party or coalition that, according to the Victorian Electoral Commission, wins a majority of the two-party-preferred vote at the 2026 general election for the Legislative Assembly in Victoria.
- Further information
- As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner?
- Manifold Markets prices Liberal-National at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner resolve?
- 2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner is scheduled to resolve on November 29, 2026.
- How is 2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The two-party-preferred count is the number of votes received by the Labor Party and the Liberal-National Coalition after preferences have been distributed.