KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Liberals and Nationals 52%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 4:21 PM UTCNov 28, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner
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KalshiRules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Victorian Electoral Commission
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For this market, “the named outcome” means the combined number of Legislative Assembly seats won by candidates endorsed by the Liberal Party of Australia (Victorian Division) or the National Party of Australia – Victoria.
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Victorian state election winner??
- Kalshi prices Liberals and Nationals at 52% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Victorian state election winner? resolve?
- Victorian state election winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 28, 2027.
- How is Victorian state election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.