Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGroup voting tickets are abolished before the election 100%Leader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJun 13, 26, 5:59 AM UTCDec 30, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Users are welcome to add relevant options to the market.
- I may edit user-submitted options for the sake of clarity.
- I will not substantially change the meaning of any option that has already been traded on.
- I reserve the right to void user-submitted options for any reason.
- Resolution criteria
- Each option in this market will resolve YES if the proposition proves true.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2026 Victorian state election prop bets?
- Manifold Markets prices Group voting tickets are abolished before the election at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 2026 Victorian state election prop bets resolve?
- 2026 Victorian state election prop bets is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2028.
- How is 2026 Victorian state election prop bets settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Users are welcome to add relevant options to the market.