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Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 9:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Republican 0-3% 29%+9.1ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$54.8K
High liquiditySpread
6.5 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.7 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 4:38 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Montana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMontana Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana senate election?
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Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate winner?
KalshiRules
The 2026 Montana Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Montana Senate margin of victory · Alme, 5+ pts 82%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Republican 0-3% at 29% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Montana Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Where else is Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.