Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 94.4%+6.5%
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 22, 26, 6:24 AMNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republicans94%
Volume trend
$511Jul 103d of dataJul 13
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Update 2026-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a third party candidate wins, the market resolves N/A
- If a party does not nominate a candidate, the market resolves to the winning party once officially called