Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastKurt Alme (R) 94%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.8 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 28, 26, 10:40 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Montana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMontana Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsIf Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race, will a Republican win?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 Montana senate election??
- Manifold Markets prices Kurt Alme (R) at 94% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2026 Montana senate election? resolve?
- Who will win the 2026 Montana senate election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.