Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
PoliticsOne-OffEuropeElectionCrime & Justice5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 90.1%
No 90.1%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$10.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 9, 26, 1:39 PM UTCApr 18, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality.
- Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify.
- A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
