Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
1.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffEuropeElectionCrime & Justice8mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 14%+0.0%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 16.0%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-4.5%
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 1:39 PMApr 17, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes14%
Volume trend
$5Jul 99d of dataJul 21
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality.
- Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify.
- A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.