Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 13%-1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
62
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Mar 17, 26, 9:51 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if participation by Israeli military personnel in a ground operation in Iran on or after February 28, 2026, is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory.
- For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered.
- Only operations involving Israeli troops on the ground within the terrestrial territory of Iran will qualify.
- Official confirmation by the Israeli military of personnel operating on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately.