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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

0.5% (24h)YearlyPoliticsUS Politics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 50%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$51.6

Liquidity

$4.1K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

38.0% / 62.0%

Spread

63.2%

Wide spread
7d Change

+3.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Mar 31, 26, 8:23 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes50%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.