Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
1.0 pts (24h)YearlyPoliticsUS Politics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 86.1%
No 86.1%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.8K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 31, 26, 8:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.