PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$298.9
Liquidity
$10.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingSep 3, 26, 1:29 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
PolymarketHoward Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
KalshiWho of Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent will be fired first?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.