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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

US PoliticsYearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above $1M
Above $1M 96%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$44.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

90.0% / 98.0%

Spread

8.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 4, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above $1M96%

Rules

If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 10000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 100000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 4000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 10000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 100000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 4000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.