FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
US PoliticsYearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $1M · —
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Stored price
Above $1M 97%Leader of 10 outcomes
Above $1M 97%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$4.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $1MSpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above $1M
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 5000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $1M
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5M
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 5000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $10M
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 10000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $50M
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 50 million for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $100M
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 100000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $500M
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 500 million for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1B
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $2B
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4B
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 4000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $6B
- If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 6000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.