PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Montana 59%
Montana 59%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$293
Low liquidityBid / Ask
50.0% / 72.0%
Spread
22.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 8:16 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?
PolymarketCloser Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?
PolymarketCloser Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?
PolymarketCloser Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?
PolymarketWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsIf Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race, will a Republican win?
Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Montana" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Montana has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the the named outcome Senate election.
- This market will resolve to "the named outcome" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in the named outcome has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Montana Senate election.
- If both states have the same margin of victory, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
