Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?
26.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Kansas 85%+26.5pt
Kansas 85%+26.5ptMarket quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$197
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 18.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 8:15 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Georgia" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Georgia has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Kansas Senate election.
- This market will resolve to "Kansas" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Kansas has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Georgia Senate election.
- If both states have the same margin of victory, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.