CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
2.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms8d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Scott Wiener · —
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Stored reference
Scott Wiener 78.3%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Scott Wiener 78.3%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$425.6
Liquidity
$30.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$10.2K
Bid / Ask
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Scott WienerSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:02 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Scott Wiener
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
