Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMike McGuire (D) 96%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 7:17 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_1
- This resolves yes to the winner of the November general election , not the special election.
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
