Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
45.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America2h
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
44-47% 99%+45.1ptLeader of 6 outcomes
44-47% 99%+45.1ptMarket quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$24.7K
Liquidity
$119K
High liquiditySpread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 6:13 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election.
- The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count.