Current implied probability
30-34 46.1%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$196.1
Liquidity
$53.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 1:41 PM UTCSep 20, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?
PolymarketBerlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
PolymarketBerlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurWho will win Uttar Pradesh State Elections held in Jan - March 2027?
Manifold MarketsBerlin state election winner?
KalshiRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election.
- This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
- If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.5pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $588.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.6M
- 24h Vol
- $446.8K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $416.5K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats??
- Polymarket prices 30-34 at 46% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats? resolve?
- Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.