World Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle EastCrime & JusticeAIGeopolitics1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIran and Israel both sign (or publicly accept) a written cease-fire or peace agreement, and no lethal exchange of fire between their regular forces occurs for the following 30 consecutive days 100%Leader of 152 outcomes
Forecasters
198
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJun 25, 25, 3:43 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 5:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
I will not bet on this market.
- Please feel free to add your own prop bets to the market.
- Questions may be broad (Nuclear Weapon used in aggression) or specific (Trump's June 22, 2025 Cease-fire declaration is not violated for at least 7 days), but should have clear resolution criteria.
- This is a market for prop bets related to any and all military/political conflicts worldwide from 2025 through the end of 2027.
- I will do my best to quickly resolve questions correctly in a timely fashion.
- I tend to pay attention to international news.
