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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. World Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]
Manifold Markets

World Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]

PoliticsAIGeopolitics1y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population 11.4%
Leader of 151 outcomes
Forecasters

187

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Jun 25, 25, 3:43 PMDec 31, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

At least one nuclear explosive device is detonated with the intent to harm a state’s armed forces or civilian population11%

Rules

I will not bet on this market.

Manifold Markets
  • Please feel free to add your own prop bets to the market.
  • Questions may be broad (Nuclear Weapon used in aggression) or specific (Trump's June 22, 2025 Cease-fire declaration is not violated for at least 7 days), but should have clear resolution criteria.
  • This is a market for prop bets related to any and all military/political conflicts worldwide from 2025 through the end of 2027.
  • I will do my best to quickly resolve questions correctly in a timely fashion.
  • I tend to pay attention to international news.

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Rules

I will not bet on this market.

Manifold Markets
  • Please feel free to add your own prop bets to the market.
  • Questions may be broad (Nuclear Weapon used in aggression) or specific (Trump's June 22, 2025 Cease-fire declaration is not violated for at least 7 days), but should have clear resolution criteria.
  • This is a market for prop bets related to any and all military/political conflicts worldwide from 2025 through the end of 2027.
  • I will do my best to quickly resolve questions correctly in a timely fashion.
  • I tend to pay attention to international news.