Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine8moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63%
Forecasters
202
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 22, 3:00 AM UTCMay 15, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold MarketsWill Zelensky survive the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold MarketsUkraine to concede formal autonomy to the Donbas region in 2026?
FutuurUkrainian Premier League: 2026-27 Winner
PolymarketUkrainian Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up
PolymarketRules
Before February 24th 2022, the administration of the Donbas region was split between the LPR, the DPR, and Ukraine.
- Part of the announced goals of the Russian invasion is to gain control of the entire region.
- This market resolves to yes if 1) a peace treaty is signed between Ukraine and Russia 2) the treaty requires Ukraine to relinquish control over the entire Donbas region.
- Picture for reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donbas#/media/File:Map_of_Donbas_region.svg