Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 87.4%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 8, 24, 3:22 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
Manifold MarketsWill Russo-Ukrainian war begin again within 10 years of ending?
Manifold MarketsTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
PolymarketRules
I'll define the end of the war as either a negotiated peace agreement, the dissolution of the Ukrainian state or army, the withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine, or general consensus among reputable journalism outlets that the war is over.
- If Zelensky is alive at this time, this market resolves as Yes.
- If he passes before then, this market resolves as No.