Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69.9%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 17, 26, 12:20 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Troy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)
PolymarketWill Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson First Round Vote Percent?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC endorse or appear at a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsWill Troy Jackson win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolves YES if Troy Jackson, the Democratic Nominee for senate in Maine, wins the most votes in the town of Allagash for the 2026 Maine Senate election.
- Resolves according to first round winner if ranked choice votes are used.
- Resolves no if it is a tie.
- There tends to be less than 200 votes here per election.
- Previous elections results of note in Allagash:
- Trump won the 2024 presidential election here by about 20%, 92 votes to 60.
