Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 4:05 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will endorse or hold a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsIF Troy Jackson is the Maine senate nominee for democrats, will Joe Biden endorse or campaign for him?
Manifold MarketsIF Troy Jackson is the Maine senate nominee for democrats, will Joe Biden endorse or campaign for him?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama do a campaign rally for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)
PolymarketWill Troy Jackson win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolves no if Troy Jackson isn’t 2026 Democratic nominee for senate in Maine
- Resolves no if Aoc doesn’t appear at an event or endorse Troy
- Resolves yes if Aoc endorses Troy or appears at a campaign event for him, or both
- Saying ‘I support the Democratic nominee’ doesn’t count as endorsement, must be endorsement of his campaign specifically
