Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBernie sanders 85%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 7:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:16 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will AOC endorse or appear at a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
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ForecastExTroy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
Must be an Official endorsement specially for Troy, eg.
- Saying ‘ I endorse Democratic nominees everywhere’ doesn’t count
- Troy is the 2028 Democratic nominee for senate in maine
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will endorse or hold a campaign event for Troy Jackson??
- Manifold Markets prices Bernie sanders at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will endorse or hold a campaign event for Troy Jackson? resolve?
- Who will endorse or hold a campaign event for Troy Jackson? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Who will endorse or hold a campaign event for Troy Jackson? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Must be an Official endorsement specially for Troy, eg.