Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52.7%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 7, 26, 6:17 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Troy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC endorse or appear at a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsWho will endorse or hold a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsWill Troy Jackson win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExMaine Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMaine Senate Exact Outcome
KalshiRules
Resolves yes if Troy Jackson gets 50% or more in the first round, and thus wins the election without requiring ranked choice voting.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election? resolve?
- Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Troy Jackson gets 50% or more in the first round, and thus wins the election without requiring ranked choice voting.