Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77.5%
Forecasters
63
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 14, 23, 5:43 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
We've seen a drastic shift in the US politicalsphere from 2010's to 2020's.
- How drastic do you think things can go?
- All baby boomers would have reached retirement age by around 2030.
- This will resolve in "yes" if the US army is mobilized to deal with domestic terrorism or part of government.
- Resolves in "no" otherwise.
- Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification: