Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP decline) by end of 2026?
One-OffEconomyMacro & EconomyUS Politics2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 94.5%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 3, 26, 10:13 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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ForecastExRules
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