Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026??

ForecastEx prices No at 83% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026? resolve?

Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 25, 2027.

How is Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026? settled?

ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Recession December 2026.

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KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%-4.0pt35.5%
• Above 2.6%41%
• Above 2.8%25.5%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$21.7K

24h Vol

$15.1K

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%+2.0pt89.5%

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+11.0pt88.2%
• Soft Landing-8.0pt9.8%
• Slack-0.1pt1%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

• Above 0.0%99.5%
• Above 0.5%99.5%
• Above 1.0%+2.0pt98.5%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No78.5%
• Yes+1.0pt21.5%

Total Vol

$732.3K

24h Vol

$3.9K

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%94.5%
• Above 0.1%75.5%
• Above 0.2%-1.0pt41.5%

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