US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)

Related Cryptos

• BitcoinBTC$80,831.52-0.11%
• EthereumETH$2,363.29-0.76%
• SolanaSOL$102.41-0.21%

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)?

Manifold Markets prices No at 98.7% as of October 25, 2026.

When does US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) resolve?

US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if by the end of 2026, NBER determines that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 (in other words, if they announce a business cycle peak occurred during 2024).

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%-4.0pt33.5%
• Above 2.6%39.5%
• Above 2.8%21%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$23.6K

24h Vol

$16.9K

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt89.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes-1.0pt20.5%

Total Vol

$737.2K

24h Vol

$5.1K

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+2.0pt90.5%
• Above 0.0%+5.0pt82.5%
• Above 0.1%+4.0pt63.5%

• US recession by end of 2026?
• Core CPI in October
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
• Russia unemployment rate in September
• South Africa unemployment rate in Q3
• US economic state at the end of 2026?
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Core CPI in November
• China unemployment rate in October
• 2026: Trump's bad year?