Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.7%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 10, 25, 9:09 AM UTCNov 18, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, not the 2024 prize that was recently announced.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict? resolve?
- Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict? is scheduled to resolve on November 18, 2026.
- How is Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2025-10-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, not the 2024 prize that was recently announced.