Current community forecast
No 54.8%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 1:17 AM UTCSep 23, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiNext German federal election winner?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to Yes if the German government officially enacts legislation to increase the standard or reduced Value Added Tax (VAT) rate (Mehrwertsteuer) before the date of the next German federal election.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. In Germany, the value-added tax (VAT), known as Mehrwertsteuer (MwSt), is a consumption tax collected on goods and services.
- Since 2007, the standard VAT rate in Germany has remained at 19%, with a reduced rate of 7% applicable to essential goods and services such as food, books, and public transport.
- Any change to these rates requires federal legislative action, which is subject to intense political debate and public scrutiny.
