Current community forecast
No 92.5%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 3, 23, 8:09 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
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Will German far-right party AfD (Alternative for Deutschland) be banned by the German government? The party is 21% in opinion polls, and has been rising in popularity.
- Given, to put it lightly, the controversial history of far-right politics in Germany, will the government follow through on its alleged consideration of a ban.
- This question will close in 2030.
- https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/13/afd-party-ban-germany-far-right-extremists/#:~:text=Germany%20is%20debating%20whether%20to,members%20are%20becoming%20increasingly%20extreme.
- [link preview]
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government? resolve?
- Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will German far-right party AfD (Alternative for Deutschland) be banned by the German government? The party is 21% in opinion polls, and has been rising in popularity.