Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 68.3%
Forecasters
48
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 5, 26, 4:42 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes68%
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Fed rate hike in 2026?
4mo
72%
28%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.7M
24h Vol$58.3K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Fed rate hike in 2026?
5mo
72.9%
27.1%
Community forecast40 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.3k29.0%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — Noololololololololo12h ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — Noololololololololo12h ago$12.2k31.4%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — NoT313d ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — NoT313d ago$3.4k62.0%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — YesPuntPP4d ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — YesPuntPP4d ago$1.4k59.9%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — YesAhpo4d ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — YesAhpo4d ago$1.9k39.0%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — Notnl4d ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — Notnl4d ago$1.0k47.0%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — NoPanzerkampfwagen6d ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — NoPanzerkampfwagen6d ago$3.9k52.0%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — YesDancewithRisk12d ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — YesDancewithRisk12d ago$9.7k32.3%POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — NoT3112d ago
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026? — NoT3112d agoVolume trend
$37Jul 819d of dataJul 26
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.