Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 58.7%
Forecasters
116
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 24, 6:51 PM UTCFeb 22, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
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KalshiWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiRules
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
- [Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
- Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
- Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
