Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic 60.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
30
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 21, 22, 6:38 AM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $215.7M
- 24h Vol
- $685.7K
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.3pt1%
+7 more outcomes
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election??
- Manifold Markets prices Democratic at 61% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.