Current community forecast
Yes 62.5%
Forecasters
38
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 6, 25, 11:53 AM UTCMar 25, 29, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The AfD must get the biggest share of the votes/seats in the Bundestag in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029) for this bet to equate to True.
- CSU and CDU will be counted together as one party.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? resolve?
- Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? is scheduled to resolve on March 25, 2029.
- How is Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The AfD must get the biggest share of the votes/seats in the Bundestag in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029) for this bet to equate to True.
