Current community forecast
No 84.5%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 25, 9:09 PM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market resolves to "Yes" if the German Bundestag (the federal parliament of Germany) is officially dissolved by December 31, 2026 (local time in Berlin).
- Any dissolution announced or legally enacted before this date counts, even if new elections have not yet been held.
- If the Bundestag remains in session beyond December 31, 2026, this market resolves to "No."
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026? resolve?
- German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
- How is German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to "Yes" if the German Bundestag (the federal parliament of Germany) is officially dissolved by December 31, 2026 (local time in Berlin).