What are the current odds for Will Russia enter NATO by 2040?

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.5% as of October 20, 2026.

When does Will Russia enter NATO by 2040 resolve?

Will Russia enter NATO by 2040 is scheduled to resolve on December 2, 2040.

How is Will Russia enter NATO by 2040 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Russia enters NATO by the end of 2040

JavaScript is disabled. Core navigation and editorial pages remain available, but live market widgets, charts, search, and personalization features may be limited.

Paper trade this

Will Russia enter NATO by 2040

GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine Europe14y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 89.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 25, 24, 11:57 PM UTCDec 2, 40, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves yes if Russia enters NATO by the end of 2040

Report a data issue with this market

Will Russia enter NATO by 2040

Will Russia enter NATO by 2040

Open markets

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?