Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by which date?
4.5 pts (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 89%+4.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
December 31 89%+4.5ptMarket quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$6.1K
Medium liquidityComments
0
7d Change
-13.4 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 12:52 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- The boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
