Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 4, 26, 11:32 PM UTCNov 30, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Russia controls any part of Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- For the duration of the war, any YES resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources:
- UAControlMap
- UkrDailyUpdate